020
ACUS11 KWNS 021645
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021645
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-021845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1820
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SUN AUG 02 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 021645Z - 021845Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SPORADIC, LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. OVERALL SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED AND
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN A
DESTABILIZING AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL OVERLIE THE REGION, AIDED BY UPPER 70S
DEWPOINTS, LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR AND VERTICAL SHEAR WEAK. AS
A RESULT, ONLY TRANSIENT ORGANIZED CELLS/MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS ARE
EXPECTED. NEVERTHELESS, THE RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND PW
VALUES OVER 2 INCHES AMID 1000-2500 J/KG MLCAPE WILL SUPPORT SOME
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE
OVERALL SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED, AND A WATCH IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.
..LEITMAN/MOSIER.. 08/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 32288462 34508382 35528293 35928230 36118180 36068130
35828109 34998061 34058072 33118111 32158211 31648336
31608407 31788446 32288462
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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