060
FNUS21 KWNS 031532
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 AM CDT MON AUG 03 2026
VALID 031700Z - 041200Z
THE ELEVATED AREA WAS EXPANDED INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AS
ELEVATED/LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER
INCREASINGLY RECEPTIVE FUELS. A RECENT DOWNTURN IN MONSOONAL
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALLOWED FUELS TO CURE QUICKLY IN PORTIONS OF THE
FOUR CORNERS, AND WESTERLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AMID MINIMUM RH OF
5-15% ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THIS AREA WITH 80-90%+ PROBABILITIES
OF THE HOT, DRY, WINDY INDEX EXCEEDING THE 95TH PERCENTILE.
ISOLATED HIGH-BASED, DRIER THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO ROCKIES, BUT CONFIDENCE IN DRY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER RECEPTIVE FUELS IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AN ISODRYT
AREA. DEEP PYROCONVECTION IS ALSO POSSIBLE ON ACTIVE LARGE WILDFIRES
IN THE COLORADO ROCKIES DUE TO THIS SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE DRY
THUNDERSTORM ENVIRONMENT.
..NAUSLAR.. 08/03/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0202 AM CDT MON AUG 03 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY, RESULTING IN SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
THE DAKOTAS AND IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS WELL AS THE ROCKIES AND GREAT
BASIN. AN EXPANSIVE ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS
REGION.
..NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH 20-30 MPH
SUSTAINED NORTHERLY WINDS TO ITS NORTH AND DRY FUELS IN THE AREA FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR, THOUGH
INCREASING RH BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIMIT THE DURATION OF THE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE WINDS AND DRY FUELS,
HAVE MAINTAINED THE ELEVATED IN THIS AREA.
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
HOT TEMPERATURES OF 100-105 F AND MODEST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE IN
PLACE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. FUELS IN THE AREA ARE QUITE DRY FOR
MID-SUMMER, RESULTING IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK THIS AFTERNOON.
..ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN
FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE SEASONABLY DRY, AND 5-15% RH IS EXPECTED BY
AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE GENERALLY RELATIVELY WEAK, THOUGH SOME POCKETS
OF STRONGER WINDS AND ANY TERRAIN-DRIVEN FLOWS WILL RESULT IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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