688
ACUS11 KWNS 071651
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071650
CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-071915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1851
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 AM CDT FRI AUG 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 071650Z - 071915Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE AN INCREASING RISK OF DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR
PARTS OF THE AREA.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN PA, FOCUSED WITHIN A ZONE OF
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, MODEST MIDLEVEL
HEIGHT FALLS PRECEDING A MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND CONTINUED DIURNAL
HEATING OF A MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMOVE ANY REMAINING INHIBITION AND
PROMOTE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. AROUND 20-30 KT OF MIDLEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND MODERATE-STRONG SURFACE-BASED
BUOYANCY/STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT LOOSELY
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST DAMAGING-WIND RISK WILL
GENERALLY SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON,
AND A WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED.
..WEINMAN/GLEASON.. 08/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...
LAT...LON 39607796 41027586 41597528 41827480 41837436 41767405
41577371 41207352 40577378 40167421 39597515 38877669
38727744 38917790 39307817 39607796
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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