650
ACUS11 KWNS 072005
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072004
CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-072200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1854
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT FRI AUG 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EASTERN PA...NORTHERN/CENTRAL
NJ...SOUTHEASTERN NY...AND FAR WESTERN CT
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 540...
VALID 072004Z - 072200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 540
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK OF SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 540.
DISCUSSION...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ADVANCING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN PA AND SOUTHEASTERN NY THIS
AFTERNOON, WHERE THERE HAVE BEEN SEVERAL REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO AN
INCREASINGLY WARM/UNSTABLE PBL (LOWER 90S TEMPERATURES AMID
LOWER/MIDDLE 70S DEWPOINTS). STEEPENED LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THE
WELL-ESTABLISHED/STRENGTHENING COLD POOLS WILL PROMOTE AN INCREASING
RISK OF SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TO
THE NORTH OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 540 IN SOUTHEASTERN NY, A
NARROW SPATIAL OVERLAP OF SUFFICIENT/MODEST DESTABILIZATION AND
MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL SUPPORT A LOCALIZED RISK FOR DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS
NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.
..WEINMAN.. 08/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
LAT...LON 40257575 40727538 41277484 41767455 42017446 42187411
42097371 41737343 41447331 40977349 40297403 39787476
39657520 39717550 39927568 40257575
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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