688
ACUS11 KWNS 081711
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081711
MAZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-081845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1863
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT SAT AUG 08 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC INTO PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 081711Z - 081845Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF WIND DAMAGE. GIVEN
THE EXPECTED SCATTERED STORM COVERAGE A WATCH IS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/TOWERING CUMULUS HAVE BEEN DEEPENING OVER THE
PAST HOUR NEAR BINGHAMTON. WITH A MODEST SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES, THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
AND INTENSIFY INTO THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON. HEATING WITHIN
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL STEEPEN
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. MODEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL ALLOW FOR SOME
ORGANIZATION, THOUGH A CLUSTER/LINEAR MODE WILL BE MOST LIKELY. THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF WIND DAMAGE. TRENDS IN CAM
GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THIS REGION WILL SEE GREATER
CLUSTERING/STORM COVERAGE. A WATCH IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
..WENDT/HART.. 08/08/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...BGM...
LAT...LON 41827305 41657396 41657405 41457529 41397600 41747630
42167618 42777582 42967393 42907341 42727283 41997283
41827305
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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