983
ACUS03 KWNS 101931
SWODY3
SPC AC 101930
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. AREAS OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE OVER A LARGE AREA FROM MID MISSOURI VALLEY SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO THE CAROLINAS.
..NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
MODEST WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL EXIST OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
ON WEDNESDAY, WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEAR THE CO/KS BORDER.
EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS NORTH OF THE LOW ACROSS NE WILL MAINTAIN
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTO THE HIGH PLAINS, AND, MAXIMIZE
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH HEIGHT. STORMS WILL FORM OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
AND MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. HAIL MAY OCCUR INITIALLY,
WITH DAMAGING GUSTS POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING. CAPPING WILL BECOME
A CONCERN WITH EASTWARD EXTEND ACROSS NE, BUT THE 40 KT LOW-LEVEL
JET MAY AID LONGEVITY.
..FROM IA TO NC
SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO LIKELY AREAS OF
ONGOING STORMS AND IMPACTS ON DAYTIME REDEVELOPMENT. THAT SAID, THE
NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND
EXTENDING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS, WITH AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OH VALLEY. THIS MAY HELP FOCUS AN
AREAS OF STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF IN/OH/KY. HOWEVER, AREAS OF EARLY
DAY STORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION, WHICH WILL
HAVE AN IMPACT ON SEVERE POTENTIAL. AS SUCH, WILL MAINTAIN A BROAD
5% MARGINAL RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..JEWELL.. 08/10/2026
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