088
ACUS11 KWNS 140631
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140630
INZ000-140830-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1975
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 AM CDT FRI AUG 14 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL IN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 140630Z - 140830Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIND-DAMAGE POTENTIAL WILL SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD WITH
AN ONGOING STORM CLUSTER, THOUGH LONGEVITY OF THE THREAT IS
UNCERTAIN.
DISCUSSION...A SMALL SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING STORM CLUSTER HAS EVOLVED
ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL IN, WITH ANOTHER ISOLATED STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
SEVERE STORM ONGOING NORTH OF INDIANAPOLIS. THIS SOMEWHAT ELEVATED
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF AN OUTFLOW-REINFORCED FRONT,
WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL WARM-ADVECTION REGIME THAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH
OF THE OVERNIGHT. MUCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG AND 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS.
THE MODEST UPSCALE GROWTH NOTED ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL IN COULD LEAD TO
AN INCREASE IN WIND-DAMAGE POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.
HOWEVER, THE MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT IS UNCERTAIN DUE TO LINGERING
NEAR-SURFACE STABILITY, AND RECENT OBJECTIVE MESOANALYSES DEPICT
DECREASING MUCAPE AND INCREASING MUCINH WITH SOUTHEASTWARD EXTENT.
IF A ROBUST COLD POOL CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED, THEN A MORE ORGANIZED
WIND-DAMAGE THREAT COULD EVOLVE ACROSS A LARGER PORTION OF CENTRAL
IN WITH TIME. OTHERWISE, LOCALIZED STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE, AND SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HAIL MAY
PERSIST WITH THE REMAINING SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS.
..DEAN/MOSIER.. 08/14/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...
LAT...LON 40058750 40298729 40398677 40238590 40088546 39828528
39608523 39518562 39488633 39498710 39598733 39838748
40058750
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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