753
ACUS11 KWNS 182020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182020
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-182215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST INTO NORTH FLORIDA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 182020Z - 182215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. A
WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE GULF
BREEZE FRONT WITHIN A VERY MOIST (LOW 70S F DEWPOINTS), HIGH PWAT
(2-2.5 IN.) AIRMASS. 12Z/18Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM THE REGION
SHOWED POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS, AND VERY WEAK SHEAR, WILL
KEEP STORMS UNORGANIZED. HOWEVER, WATER-LOADED DOWNDRAFTS MAY
PRODUCE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WITH LOW-LEVEL LAPSE HAVING STEEPENED
SUBSTANTIALLY THIS AFTERNOON.
..WENDT/GUYER.. 08/18/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 30638949 30869014 31808990 32338818 31658615 31078521
30788268 30668159 30388133 29548123 29618318 30238602
30638949
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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