495
ACUS11 KWNS 190337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190337
MOZ000-KSZ000-190400-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2033
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1037 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN
MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 598...
VALID 190337Z - 190400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 598
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A SWATH OF DAMAGING TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE GUSTS IS
BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER, INCLUDING THE
KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA. A FEW NEARBY SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY
ALSO POSE AN OCCASIONAL RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL.
DISCUSSION...AN MCS IS ORGANIZING OVER NORTHEASTERN KS, WITH KEAX
REFLECTIVITY AND VELOCITY DATA DEPICTING THE POTENTIAL FOR
HYDROMETEOR LOADING GIVEN LARGE MERGING CORES. AS A RESULT, SEVERAL
SEVERE GUSTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES. THE
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT APPRECIABLE OUTFLOW WITH THESE STORMS WILL
YIELD A DAMAGING TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE WIND SWATH ALONG THE KS/MO
BORDER DESPITE THE DECOUPLED BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE. THESE STORMS
WILL PASS OVER THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA OVER THE NEXT HOUR
OR SO, ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OCCASIONALLY EXCEEDING 60 MPH. TRANSIENT
SUPERCELLS ARE ALSO FLANKING THIS MCS TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH DEEPER
CORES, WHICH MAY FAVOR A FEW INSTANCES OF SEVERE HAIL AS WELL.
..SQUITIERI.. 08/19/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 39519646 39309408 39019360 38529354 38289392 38299489
38449560 38829650 39519646
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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