700
ACUS11 KWNS 190622
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190622
KSZ000-COZ000-190745-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2035
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 AM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO...WESTERN
KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 190622Z - 190745Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS POSING A RISK FOR DAMAGING GUSTS AND SEVERE
HAIL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED AND A WATCH IS POSSIBLE
SHOULD SIGNS OF SUFFICIENT SEVERE STORM COVERAGE BECOME CLEARER.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG, OCCASIONALLY SEVERE,
STORMS WERE IN PROGRESS ACROSS NORTHEAST CO AT 0615Z WITH A REPORT
OF 64 MPH AT AKRON. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED WITHIN A SEASONABLY
STRONG BELT OF WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW AND AROUND 40 KTS
OF WESTERLY EFFECTIVE SHEAR. THE DOWNSTREAM THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT BECOMES PROGRESSIVELY MORE UNSTABLE WITH EASTWARD EXTENT
WITH MUCAPE AVERAGING 2000 J/KG, LOCALLY HIGHER, ACROSS WESTERN KS.
LATEST SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THESE ELEVATED CLUSTERS OF
STORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO WESTERN KS DURING THE
PRE-DAWN HOURS WITH ISOLATED INSTANCES OF STRONG/SEVERE GUSTS AND
HAIL POSSIBLE. IT REMAINS UNCLEAR WHETHER THE SEVERE STORM COVERAGE
WOULD WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH, HOWEVER CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED, AND A WATCH IS POSSIBLE SHOULD
SHORT-TERM TRENDS SUGGEST MORE THAN ISOLATED COVERAGE.
..BUNTING/MOSIER.. 08/19/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 39870331 39960228 39559988 38899962 38389973 38080001
37970158 38110317 38400404 39270413 39870331
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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