697
ACUS11 KWNS 190657
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190657
MOZ000-KSZ000-190830-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2036
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 AM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST KANSAS...WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 598...
VALID 190657Z - 190830Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 598
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE WIND AND HAIL THREAT CONTINUES WITHIN SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 598. ADDITIONALLY, A LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT
WILL EXIST WITH A COMPACT LINE SEGMENT OF STORMS EAST OF THE WATCH
OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI.
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WITHIN A
WNW-ESE-ORIENTED ZONE ACROSS NORTHEAST KS AND WEST-CENTRAL MO AT
0645Z, WITH RECENT REPORTS OF GOLFBALL-SIZED HAIL AND SEVERE GUSTS.
THE STORMS PERSIST WITHIN A ZONE OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION, MODERATE MUCAPE AVERAGING 1500 - 2000 J/KG, AND 45-50 KTS
OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. GIVEN THIS ENVIRONMENT, A COMBINATION OF BOTH
SUPERCELL AND MULTICELL CLUSTER STORM MODES IS LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH 09Z WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
GUSTS.
DOWNSTREAM, A COMPACT LINE SEGMENT OF STORMS WAS MOVING INTO CENTRAL
MO SOUTHWEST OF JEFFERSON CITY. THESE STORMS WERE ALONG THE NORTHERN
FRINGE OF A STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME AND WITHIN A GRADIENT
IN MUCAPE OF 1000 TO 1500 J/KG. WHILE SOME SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS, THE OVERALL LONGEVITY IS
UNCERTAIN AND A WATCH IN THIS AREA IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED.
..BUNTING/MOSIER.. 08/19/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...
LAT...LON 39529590 39449493 39109361 38499179 38029184 37739186
37629263 38039429 38209481 38879528 39309588 39529590
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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