832
ACUS11 KWNS 211810
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211810
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-212015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2067
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0110 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST INTO
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 211810Z - 212015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY POSE A
RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS THROUGH THIS
EVENING. WATCH ISSUANCE APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA AS OF 1800 UTC, WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND WITHIN
POCKETS OF MODESTLY ENHANCED SURFACE CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PW (1.75-2.0+ INCHES) AND STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL FOSTER AT LEAST AN ISOLATED RISK FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH WATER-LOADED DOWNBURSTS; HOWEVER,
MARGINALLY COOLER TEMPERATURES (LOW 90S F) AND MODESTLY WEAKER
LOW-TO-MID LEVEL FLOW (LESS THAN 15-20 KTS PER AREA VWPS) SUGGEST
THE COVERAGE AND MAGNITUDE OF THE SEVERE RISK MAY BE SOMEWHAT MORE
LIMITED COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER WEST. GIVEN THIS, THE NEED FOR A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS MORE UNCERTAIN BUT APPEARS UNLIKELY AT
THIS TIME. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED, AND A WATCH COULD
BE CONSIDERED SHOULD A CORRIDOR OF GREATER DAMAGING WIND GUST
POTENTIAL BECOME EVIDENT.
..CHALMERS/SMITH.. 08/21/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 30618401 30338569 30488632 30828677 31338705 31938709
32268681 32498648 33168410 33328308 33228222 33018191
32638160 32308146 31788150 31268179 30998225 30838276
30618401
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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