531
ACUS11 KWNS 270011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270011
COZ000-270145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0711 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN COLORADO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629...
VALID 270011Z - 270145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOCALLY FAVORABLE CORRIDOR FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEAR TERM.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR DATA FROM KFTG/TDEN INDICATE A MIX OF
SPLITTING CELLS AND ASSOCIATED STORM MERGERS/CLUSTERING ALONG AND
EAST OF THE DENVER METRO. ADDITIONALLY, CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW EMANATING
FROM CONVECTION FARTHER EAST IS APPROACHING THE AFOREMENTIONED
STORMS, WHICH COULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL CLUSTERING/UPSCALE GROWTH.
GIVEN THIS EXPECTED CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION, THE PRESENCE OF A
LONG/MOSTLY STRAIGHT HODOGRAPH (AROUND 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR PER
KFTG), AND STEEP LOW/MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES, THIS ACTIVITY COULD
EVOLVE INTO A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
THIS WOULD YIELD AN INCREASING RISK OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS. IN THE
NEAR TERM, COMPLEX STORM INTERACTIONS/MERGERS AMID THE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS -- WITHIN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 629.
..WEINMAN.. 08/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 39530496 39810506 40040501 40150478 40150440 40020404
39880377 39520348 39210357 39040384 39080420 39230459
39530496
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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