120
ACUS11 KWNS 271921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271920
TXZ000-272115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2150
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 271920Z - 272115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED WIND GUSTS APPEAR POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THE THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN TOO ISOLATED FOR A WATCH CONSIDERATION.
DISCUSSION...AHEAD OF AN MCV MOVING THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY,
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS DEEPENING CUMULUS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THE CONCHO VALLEY TO HILL COUNTRY, WITH ADDITIONAL CUMULUS
NOTED ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH FROM SAN ANTONIO TO ROCK SPRINGS.
LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS SOME LINGERING CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION; HOWEVER, CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING WILL SUPPORT FURTHER
AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIMIT THE
POTENTIAL FOR STORM ORGANIZATION; HOWEVER, THE PRESENCE OF A
RELATIVELY DEEP, WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS WITH ANY MORE INTENSE PULSE STORMS.
..MEAD/MOSIER.. 08/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 29380063 29550097 30240112 30450065 30719962 30899854
30969728 30929642 31029564 30739500 30319506 29759566
28969777 28799926 28779991 29380063
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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