104
ACUS11 KWNS 292304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292304
UTZ000-NVZ000-300100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0604 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN NV INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN UT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 292304Z - 300100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
CELLS THROUGH 7-8PM MDT.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A FEW CELLS, THE MOST NOTABLE
OF WHICH ARE MOVING EAST OVER WHITE PINE CO. NV AND JUAB CO. UT.
AMPLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR (50 KT) AND MODERATE BUOYANCY (1000-1500 J/KG
SBCAPE) ARE FAVORING STORM ORGANIZATION INTO STRONGER UPDRAFT/CELL
DEVELOPMENT. DESPITE SOME CLOUD COVER AND MINOR INFLUENCE FROM
EARLIER DAY CONVECTION, THE OPTIMAL TIME-OF-DAY VIA PEAK HEATING AND
STEEPENING OF LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES DOWNSTREAM OF THE ONGOING STORM
ACTIVITY, LIKELY PROMOTES A MAINTENANCE OF THE SEVERE THREAT WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
..SMITH.. 08/29/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SLC...LKN...
LAT...LON 39401424 39611446 40361454 40691423 41231222 41021170
39841121 39551133 39371169 39401424
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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