824
ACUS11 KWNS 020709
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020708
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-020845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2194
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 AM CDT WED SEP 02 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST MN INTO WEST-CENTRAL WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 641...
VALID 020708Z - 020845Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 641
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR SEVERE GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING WITH AN ONGOING MCS.
DISCUSSION...A COMPACT BUT LONG-LIVED AND WELL-ORGANIZED MCS IS
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MN EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS MCS RECENTLY
PRODUCED GUSTS OF 60-70 MPH IN THE ROCHESTER, MN AREA, AND
RELATIVELY STRONG INBOUND VELOCITIES CONTINUE TO BE OBSERVED FROM
THE KARX RADAR. GIVEN ITS CURRENT ORGANIZATION AND FAVORABLE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR NOTED FROM THE KARX VWP, THIS MCS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO POSE A SHORT-TERM THREAT FOR SEVERE GUSTS AS IT
APPROACHES WEST-CENTRAL WI. WITH TIME, THIS MCS WILL BEGIN TO
ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT, AS IT MOVES
INTO A REGION INCREASINGLY INFLUENCED BY OUTFLOW FROM DOWNSTREAM
CONVECTION. AS A RESULT, THE LONGEVITY OF SEVERE-WIND POTENTIAL IS
UNCERTAIN, BUT AT LEAST SOME THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE WITH THE ONGOING
MCS MAY EVENTUALLY REACH EASTERN PORTIONS OF WW 641.
..DEAN.. 09/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GRB...ARX...MPX...
LAT...LON 44439223 44549098 44489043 44179009 43929010 43649049
43529106 43489156 43529238 43909221 44439223
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page