613
ACUS48 KWNS 030740
SWOD48
SPC AC 030738
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 AM CDT THU SEP 03 2026
VALID 061200Z - 111200Z
..DISCUSSION
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING IN FAVOR OF MORE
AMPLIFIED, PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGHS. THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT
WEEK, A FEW IMPULSES EJECTING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS MAY BE
ACCOMPANIED BY ENOUGH BUOYANCY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO SUPPORT AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO DELINEATE
A MORE FOCUSED SEVERE THREAT AT THIS TIME. LIKEWISE, THERE IS A LACK
OF CONSENSUS AMONG MEDIUM-RANGE DETERMINISTIC AND ML/AI GUIDANCE
REGARDING THE TRACK AND TIMING OF ANY PARTICULAR SHORTWAVE UPPER
TROUGH LATER NEXT WEEK, PRECLUDING THE INTRODUCTION OF ANY SEVERE
PROBABILITIES THIS OUTLOOK.
..SQUITIERI.. 09/03/2026
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