788
ACUS11 KWNS 041732
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041731
MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-041930-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT FRI SEP 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST OHIO...MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN
MARYLAND AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN VIRGINIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 041731Z - 041930Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS MAY PRODUCE AREAS OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FROM SOUTHEAST OHIO
INTO VIRGINIA.
DISCUSSION...CELLS HAVE INTENSIFIED FROM CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST OH,
SOUTH OF THE SYNOPTIC WIND SHIFT AND WITHIN THE INSTABILITY AXIS.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IS HIGH, WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING.
MIDLEVEL NORTHWESTERLIES OF 30-40 KT ARE ALSO SUPPORTING CELLULAR
AND MIXED STORM MODES INCLUDING SMALL BOWS. GIVEN THE DESTABILIZING
AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM OF THE EXISTING STORMS, GRADUAL UPSCALE GROWTH
MAY OCCUR AS OUTFLOW PRODUCTION/STORM COVERAGE INCREASES.
..JEWELL/GUYER.. 09/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 38978248 39418172 39698096 39767982 39577793 39077719
38627744 37967822 37507916 37218080 37368163 37828223
38138248 38978248
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page