751
ACUS11 KWNS 041835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041835
NCZ000-VAZ000-042030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2233
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CDT FRI SEP 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 041835Z - 042030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALLY SEVERE DOWNBURSTS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE
VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AND INTO NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A ZONE OF WIND CONVERGENCE
FROM EXTREME SOUTHEAST VA INTO NORTHERN NC, WITH TCU EVIDENT.
TEMPERATURES ARE APPROACHING 100 F WITH DEWPOINTS MIXING INTO THE
LOWER 70S F, RESULTING IN A DEEP MIXED LAYER ALONG WITH HIGH PWAT.
WINDS ALOFT ARE GENERALLY OUT OF THE WEST, WITH 15-20 KT SPEEDS
COMMON THROUGH THE MIDLEVELS. THIS WOULD APPEAR TO FAVOR A FEW
MULTICELL CLUSTERS GENERALLY MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD, AND PRODUCING
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE MOST CONCENTRATED STORM POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST NC AS CELLS POSSIBLY
CONSOLIDATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
..JEWELL/GUYER.. 09/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...GSP...
LAT...LON 36188156 36318149 36548121 36657893 36787666 36687586
36347576 36147565 35937576 35837619 35797733 35827877
35968113 36188156
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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