539
ACUS11 KWNS 101915
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101915
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-102115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2279
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO PARTS OF TENNESSEE AND
KENTUCKY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 101915Z - 102115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM
NORTHEAST AR INTO PORTIONS OF KY/TN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. A WATCH IS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ALONG AN AXIS FROM
NORTHERN AR INTO PARTS OF KY/TN. THIS IS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
SURFACE BOUNDARY, WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER
80-MID 90S. HIGH PWAT VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES, MLCAPE OVER 1500
J/KG, AND STRONG DAYTIME HEATING SUGGEST A FEW STORMS MAY
OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS. MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW
OF 25-30 KNOTS MAY ALSO ENCOURAGE A FEW ORGANIZED MULTICELL
CLUSTERS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE COVERAGE OF SEVERE WILL
BE LIMITED.
..HART/GUYER.. 09/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...
SGF...
LAT...LON 37439063 37258807 37468600 37038432 36278502 35908602
35478902 35219136 35949262 37439063
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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