641
ACUS11 KWNS 112024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112024
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-112300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 112024Z - 112300Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A FEW LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...PRECEDING A CONVECTIVELY AUGMENTED MIDLEVEL TROUGH
MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE OZARKS, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EVOLVING ALONG A NORTH/SOUTH-ORIENTED COMPOSITE OUTFLOW/STATIONARY
BOUNDARY IN FAR EASTERN AR. AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY, CONTINUED
DIURNAL HEATING AMID LOWER 70S DEWPOINTS WILL FURTHER DESTABILIZE
THE PRE-CONVECTIVE AIR MASS, THOUGH OVERALL BUOYANCY WILL BE LIMITED
BY POOR MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. NEVERTHELESS, THE RELATIVELY FOCUSED
AREA OF FORCING FOR ASCENT AND WEAKLY VEERING WIND PROFILE
ACCOMPANYING/TRAILING A REMNANT MCV COULD PROMOTE A FEW STRONG
STORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH ANY LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS THAT DEVELOP
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
..WEINMAN/GUYER.. 09/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...
LAT...LON 35329051 35779018 36328990 36708955 36858914 36868881
36608823 36198803 35648814 34498889 34058943 34039006
34269046 34469072 34729077 35329051
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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