492  
ACUS02 KWNS 211656  
SWODY2  
SPC AC 211655  
 
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1155 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z  
 
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF  
THE SOUTHEAST...  
   
..SUMMARY  
 
ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST ON  
TUESDAY.  
   
..SOUTHEAST  
 
A WEAK MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE MIDWEST ON  
TUESDAY, BRINGING MODEST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE  
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL SINK  
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS INTO THE CAROLINAS. MID  
60S TO LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT,  
PROMOTING 1500-2500 J/KG MLCAPE AMID STRONGER HEATING FROM PARTS OF  
MS/AL INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND  
EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES WILL REMAIN WEAK, BUT WHERE STRONGER  
HEATING OCCURS, STEEPENED LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AMID 1.75-2 INCH PW  
VALUES ARE EXPECTED. THIS COULD SUPPORT SPORADIC STRONG WIND GUSTS  
WITHIN WET MICROBURSTS. OVERALL, SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN  
LIMITED.  
 
..LEITMAN.. 09/21/2026  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab SPC Page
Main Text Page