377
ACUS03 KWNS 260717
SWODY3
SPC AC 260716
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON MONDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY MORPH INTO AN OPEN WAVE WHILE EJECTING
INTO THE ATLANTIC FROM THE NORTHEAST AND ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
TRAVERSES THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. WEAK SURFACE LEE TROUGHING AND
ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE PLAINS,
SUPPORTING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. MEANWHILE, SOME COOLING
ALOFT AND DEEP-LAYER ASCENT WILL ENCOURAGE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE INTERIOR WEST.
NONETHELESS, THE LACK OF A FAVORABLE OVERLAP OF BUOYANCY AND SHEAR
WILL INHIBIT ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL, AS ALSO
SUGGESTED BY THE LATEST ML/AI CALIBRATED GUIDANCE.
..SQUITIERI.. 09/26/2026
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