080  
ACUS02 KWNS 030416  
SWODY2  
SPC AC 030414  
 
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1114 PM CDT FRI OCT 02 2026  
 
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.  
   
..SYNOPSIS  
 
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN FROM ONTARIO INTO QUEBEC  
SUNDAY AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS JAMES BAY. A LEADING SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST,  
WITH AN ATTENDANT SURFACE FRONT. HOWEVER, LITTLE IF ANY INSTABILITY  
WILL BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
BEHIND THE LEAD WAVE, A LARGER BACKSIDE SPEED MAX WILL NOSE INTO THE  
UPPER GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE DAY, WITH ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH  
BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDWEST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM THE TX COAST TO FL, WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE  
AND INSTABILITY (MLCAPE < 1000 J/KG) WILL EXIST. WEAK SHEAR AND WARM  
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL NOT FAVOR SEVERE STORMS.  
 
ELSEWHERE, A FEW WEAK AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR OVER A SMALL  
PART OF CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST CO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE MINIMAL  
INSTABILITY WILL EXIST DUE TO STEEP LAPSE RATES.  
 
..JEWELL.. 10/03/2026  
 
 
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