046
ACUS48 KWNS 030742
SWOD48
SPC AC 030740
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 AM CDT SAT OCT 03 2026
VALID 061200Z - 111200Z
..DISCUSSION
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS FORECAST TO BE LOW ACROSS THE CONUS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FROM THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES & PLAINS EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN STATES. PERIODIC
EMBEDDED WAVES AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL INTRUSIONS WILL MAINTAIN A
RELATIVELY STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE SAME AREAS, WHILE THE MORE
SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REMAIN LARGELY OVER
THE GULF OF AMERICA AND WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.
SOME LOW-END THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THUR/D6
INTO FRI/D7 OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST, WITH PRIMARILY LATE DAY/EVENING
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AS THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER
EASTERN CANADA STARTS TO LIFT, AND LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION OCCURS
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
..JEWELL.. 10/03/2026
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