455
ACUS02 KWNS 060407
SWODY2
SPC AC 060405
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1105 PM CDT MON OCT 05 2026
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
..NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD JAMES BAY, WITH A BROAD AREA OF
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST. A BACKSIDE SPEED MAX ALOFT WILL
NOSE INTO MI LATE IN THE DAY, AND TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO
THURSDAY MORNING. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT NORTH OF THE MIDLEVEL
SPEED MAX AND MINIMAL MOISTURE MAY YIELD A FEW WEAK THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE DAY OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
..FOUR CORNERS STATES
COOL MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
STATES, EAST OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER CA. ISOLATED GENERAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAY TIME HEATING IN THE WEAK
FLOW REGIME. LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS MAY OCCUR DURING THE PEAK HEATING
HOURS.
..NE
DURING THE EVENING, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
WILL OCCUR OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS, AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER NE OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH COOL ALOFT, AVAILABLE MOISTURE
WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY OVERALL.
..FL
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN STABLE SURFACE CONDITIONS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST, THE EXCEPTION BEING THE FL PENINSULA
WHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL NOT FAVOR SEVERE STORMS.
..JEWELL.. 10/06/2026
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