028  
ACUS11 KWNS 102248  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 102248  
SCZ000-GAZ000-110045-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2359  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0548 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT  
EASTERN GEORGIA  
 
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 679...  
 
VALID 102248Z - 110045Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 679 CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING LESS CONDUCIVE TO  
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. PARTS OF THE  
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 679 COULD BE LOCALLY  
EXTENDED AN HOUR OR SO IN TIME THIS EVENING, BUT A NEW TORNADO WATCH  
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.  
 
DISCUSSION...COOL SURFACE RIDGING IS MAINTAINING A CONSIDERABLE  
INFLUENCE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC, AS FAR SOUTH AND  
WEST AS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN  
INTO THE PIEDMONT, WHERE NEAR SURFACE LAPSE RATES REMAIN ISOTHERMAL  
OR MORE STABLE. STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS FOCUSED WITHIN THE  
COOLER AIR, AND FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY MODEST WITHIN THE  
MOIST SECTOR THROUGH THIS EVENING. COUPLED WITH AT LEAST SUBTLE  
BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING WITHIN THE MOIST SECTOR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE  
OF HOURS, THE RISK FOR CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES  
SEEMS LIKELY TO DIMINISH BY OR NOT LONG AFTER 11/00Z, EVEN AS  
UPSTREAM MID-LEVEL TROUGHING SLOWLY PIVOTS EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE  
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
 
..KERR.. 10/10/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...  
 
LAT...LON 33718187 33898077 33198008 32887953 32048027 32048084  
31848131 32778179 33418214 33718187  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH  
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