574
ACUS11 KWNS 111725
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111725
NCZ000-VAZ000-111900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2362
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 680...
VALID 111725Z - 111900Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 680 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A FEW MORE TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN NC. THE SUPERCELLS OVER NORTHERN NC HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE AT PRODUCING A STRONG TORNADO.
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ALONG A CONFLUENCE BAND OVER
CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN NC, WITH RADAR-INDICATED TORNADOES ONGOING
WITH THE NORTHERN NC STORMS. REGIONAL VADS CONTINUE TO SHOW CURVED
HODOGRAPHS AND OVER 200 M2/S2 OF 0-500 M SRH, SUPPORTING TORNADO
POTENTIAL. RELATIVELY WELL-ORGANIZED SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING JUST
NORTH OF RALEIGH NC, AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW, WHERE SURFACE FLOW IS
MOST BACKED. GIVEN THE WELL-ORGANIZED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND
STRONG SRH, AN EF2 EQUIVALENT INTENSITY TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH THE
NORTHERN NC STORMS.
..SQUITIERI.. 10/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
LAT...LON 35837873 36367853 36567824 36557786 36347756 35347764
34387772 34117780 34057796 34587844 35347853 35837873
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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