064
ACUS11 KWNS 150136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150135
OKZ000-TXZ000-150230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2377
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0835 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY IN SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA/NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 685...
VALID 150135Z - 150230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 685
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOCALLY GREATER RISK FOR DAMAGING/SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO MAY EXIST OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED QLCS WITH
A PROMINENT BOWING SEGMENT AND EMBEDDED MESOVORTEX (AS SAMPLED BY
THE KFDR RADAR) ADVANCING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWESTERN TEXAS. THIS
BOW IS PROPAGATING EASTWARD WITHIN A MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS
LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. LATEST
OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO DEPICT BACKED SURFACE FLOW WITHIN THIS AIR
MASS, HOWEVER, WITH RECENT OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATED THE
PRESENCE OF CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND 200-300 M2/S2
ESRH. THIS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR
DAMAGING/SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF QLCS TORNADO ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY IN THE NEAR-TERM, WITH THE GREATEST
RISK LIKELY TO EXIST POLEWARD OF THE BOW'S APEX.
..CHALMERS.. 10/15/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34699870 34819833 34839792 34699756 34469741 34189746
33979764 33829793 33709829 33709872 33739887 33879891
34079891 34269903 34369919 34579888 34699870
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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