685
ACUS03 KWNS 151905
SWODY3
SPC AC 151904
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL EJECT INTO THE ATLANTIC WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE
AND ACCOMPANYING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE/ANTICYCLONE OVERSPREADS MOST
OF THE CONUS ON SATURDAY. GIVEN THE STABILITY AND SUBSIDENCE
ACCOMPANYING THE BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONE, THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD BE LIMITED ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS. ONE EXCEPTION WOULD BE
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA, WHERE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY ACCOMPANY A SWEEPING SURFACE COLD FRONT. THE OTHER EXCEPTION IS
THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER BASIN, WHERE SCANT BUOYANCY, DRIVEN BY
MODESTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT, WILL ACCOMPANY AN APPROACHING
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE, FOSTERING THE POTENTIAL FOR SPARSE LIGHTNING
FLASHES.
..SQUITIERI.. 10/15/2026
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