812
ACUS03 KWNS 161923
SWODY3
SPC AC 161922
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED SUNDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A FRONT WILL STALL IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTH FL AND PROVIDE A FOCUS
FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH PW VALUES
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. ACROSS AZ/NM, A MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL EJECT
NORTHEASTWARD IN ADVANCE OF HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES, MOISTURE AND ASCENT
COULD BE SUFFICIENTLY DEEP FOR CHARGE SEPARATION AND ISOLATED
LIGHTNING FLASHES WITH WEAK MIDLEVEL CONVECTION.
..THOMPSON.. 10/16/2026
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