752
ACUS01 KWNS 170516
SWODY1
SPC AC 170514
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TODAY.
..SYNOPSIS
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL BE TOO
DRY AND STABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA,
WHERE SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN A VERY
MOIST ENVIRONMENT. POOR LAPSE RATES AND WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD
LIMIT ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL, THOUGH LOCALIZED STRONG GUSTS MAY
OCCUR. ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, SPORADIC LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY
ACCOMPANY WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SLOW-MOVING MID/UPPER
LOW CENTERED OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
..DEAN/CHALMERS.. 10/17/2026
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