602  
FOPA11 PHFO 180232  
PWSCP1  
 
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP032023  
0300 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
20N 150W 34 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
20N 151W 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
BUOY 51004 34 X 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)  
 
20N 154W 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
HILO 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)  
 
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)  
 
18N 156W 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
SOUTH POINT 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)  
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
21N 156W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
KAILUA-KONA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
21N 158W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
HANA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 

 
FORECASTER KODAMA  
 
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