593  
FOPA11 PHFO 182032  
PWSCP1  
 
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP032023  
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
BUOY 51004 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
 
20N 154W 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
HILO 34 11 9(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
 
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
18N 156W 34 4 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
18N 156W 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
SOUTH POINT 34 10 48(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)  
SOUTH POINT 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
KAILUA-KONA 34 2 18(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
 
21N 158W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
HANA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
LANAI CITY 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
BUOY 51002 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
20N 160W 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)  
 
21N 160W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
BUOY 51003 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)  
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 

 
FORECASTER KODAMA  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HI Page Main Text Page