216
FOPA11 PHFO 190848
PWSCP1
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP032023
0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HILO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
18N 156W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
18N 156W 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SOUTH POINT 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
KAILUA-KONA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51002 34 15 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
20N 160W 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BUOY 51003 34 2 27(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
20N 165W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FORECASTER POWELL
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