625  
WTPA22 PHFO 092046  
TCMCP2  
 
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052023  
2100 UTC WED AUG 09 2023  
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO  
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).  
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 166.0W AT 09/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 19 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.  
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.  
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT.......100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.  
12 FT SEAS..480NE 180SE 150SW 360NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 166.0W AT 09/2100Z  
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 165.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 12.0N 168.9W  
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.8N 172.5W  
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.7N 175.7W  
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.8N 178.7W  
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 5SE 5SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 10SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 178.5E  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 25SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.5N 175.9E  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 5SE 5SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 25SE 25SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.7N 171.1E  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N 167.1E  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 166.0W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER POWELL  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HI Page Main Text Page