090
WTPA22 PHFO 111431
TCMCP2
HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052023
1500 UTC FRI AUG 11 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 178.1W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 178.1W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 177.1W
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.7N 180.0E
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.9N 177.5E
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 5SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.8N 175.2E
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 15SE 5SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.3N 173.0E
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 5NE 0SE 0SW 5NW.
50 KT... 25NE 10SE 5SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 15SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.7N 171.1E
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.4N 169.4E
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 5NE 0SE 0SW 5NW.
34 KT... 50NE 15SE 5SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 21.0N 167.2E
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.5N 166.2E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 178.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
FORECASTER FOSTER/BIRCHARD
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