858  
ACPN50 PHFO 121148  
TWOCP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI  
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
200 AM HST SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180W:  
 
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA  
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT  
DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO A LESS  
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 
WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS  
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC, REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN  
ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 
WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (EX-CP90):  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW  
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE  
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS  
IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING SOUTHWEST  
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
NNNN  
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