360  
ACPN50 PHFO 130501  
TWOCP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI  
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 PM HST SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180W:  
 
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA  
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY EAST OF ITS CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED  
TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND ITS DEVELOPMENT  
CHANCES APPEAR TO BE DECREASING.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE  
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE  
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES LITTLE, REMAINING WELL  
SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
 
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (CP90):  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A CONCENTRATED AREA  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR  
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AND IT COULD  
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES SLOWLY  
NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
NNNN  
 
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