834
ACPN50 PHFO 131145
TWOCP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST MON JUL 13 2026
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180W:
WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES
LITTLE. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS WEEK WHILE THE
SYSTEM REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (CP90):
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM LATER THIS
WEEK AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, PRIMARILY EAST OF ITS CENTER. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS,
AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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