637  
WTPA22 PHFO 231448  
TCMCP2  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026  
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 154.4W AT 23/1500Z  
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 154.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.7N 155.2W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 155.5W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 155.2W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.7N 154.8W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.6N 154.5W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.2N 154.7W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.1N 157.0W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N 160.2W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 154.4W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z  
 

 
FORECASTER BLAKE  
 
 
 
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