437
FOPA12 PHFO 231449
PWSCP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED SEP 23 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 3(31) 1(32)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 13(49) 1(50)
20N 154W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16)
20N 154W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
15N 155W 34 60 10(70) 9(79) 1(80) 1(81) 1(82) X(82)
15N 155W 50 4 7(11) 8(19) 3(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23)
15N 155W 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 41(42) 28(70) 1(71)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 20(33) X(33)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 31(42) 1(43)
BRADSHAW AAF 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12)
BRADSHAW AAF 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 20(28) 43(71) 2(73)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 34(40) 2(42)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 21(24) 2(26)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 44(83) 1(84)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 41(51) 1(52)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 2(30)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 2(21)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
21N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 46(64) 1(65)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) X(27)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 2(23)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
KAHULUI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 9(21)
21N 158W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 17(25) 2(27)
HANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)
HANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 4(25)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 39(43) 11(54)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 11(25)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 38(48)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 47(57)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
FORECASTER BLAKE
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