124
FOPA12 PHFO 240842
PWSCP2
TROPICAL STORM NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
15N 155W 34 3 9(12) 2(14) 1(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18)
15N 155W 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
15N 155W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) X(30) X(30)
HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
HILO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) 19(19) 27(46) 42(88) 2(90) X(90)
18N 156W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 50(65) 2(67) X(67)
18N 156W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 36(41) 2(43) X(43)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 52(77) X(77) X(77)
SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) X(38) X(38)
SOUTH POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 1(21) X(21)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) 2(41) X(41)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
KAILUA-KONA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 50(52) 17(69) 1(70)
BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 18(41) X(41)
BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) X(26)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 4(40)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 62(65) 8(73)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 8(39)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 6(24)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 41(43)
22N 164W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18)
22N 164W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20)
NECKER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
NECKER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 39(44)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21)
20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
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