231
FXCA62 TJSJ 161810 AAA
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
210 PM AST SAT NOV 16 2024
UPDATE
SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE AREA WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS--MOSTLY OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE CARIBBEAN SEA. THE SOUNDING FROM SAN JUAN, PUERTO RICO AT
16/12Z SHOWED CAPE LESS THAN 1000 J/KG AND DRY LAYERS INTERVENING
ABOVE 12 KFT. WINDS WERE ALMOST UNIFORMLY WEST FROM 1,000-31,000
FEET. LOWER ELEVATION TEMPERATURES WERE ALMOST ALL IN THE 80S
DESPITE THE MOSTLY CLOUDY SITUATION. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS STILL
EXPECTED ACROSS INTERIOR PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS SAINT CROIX. MINOR
CHANGES TO THE GRIDS IN ANTICIPATION OF BEST RAINS BETWEEN 4 AM-10
AM AST.
AVIATION
SCT SHRA PREVAIL OVER LAND, WITH ISOLD TSRA OVR THE
CARIBBEAN. SHRA/ISOLD TSRA ARE EXPECTED TO DVLP AFT 16/19Z AND MAY
LAST THRU 16/22Z. SHRA MAY PRODUCE MVFR CONDS MOSTLY DUE TO CIGS,
AND MTN OBSCURATIONS. WIND FLOW IS S-W 6-12 KT. MAX WINDS NW 70 KT
ARND FL435. OUTLOOK: AFT 17/06Z CONDS TO DETERIORATE MOSTLY ON THE
N COAST OF PR, BCMG BY 17/12Z 5SM -RA WITH CIGS 025-035 AS A CDFNT
APPCHS THE AREA. EXPECT VFR CONDS SOUTH COAST.
SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PR...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR PRZ001-
005.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR PRZ001-002-
005-008-010-012.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY FOR PRZ001-002-005-008-
012.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR PRZ010.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR PRZ013.
VI...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR VIZ001.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM AST SUNDAY FOR VIZ001.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON AST MONDAY FOR AMZ711-712-716.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ723.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT AST TONIGHT FOR AMZ741-742.
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WS
PUBLIC/UPPER AIR....RVT
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