025  
FNUS71 KRLX 130435  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAMSHORN PILE BURN...MONONGAHELA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
1235 AM EDT TUE APR 13 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS EARLY THIS  
MORNING WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO FINISH MOVING OUT OF THE AREA AROUND 3-  
4AM. DRY WEATHER WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH CLOUD  
COVER INCREASING INTO THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP INTO  
THE MID 50S BY AROUND 4-5PM. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE AROUND 5-10  
MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING, AND UP TO 15 MPH  
FOR THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES START THE MORNING IN THE  
70S AND WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY, LOWERING INTO THE  
UPPER 40S AROUND 4-5PM.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................27 INCREASING TO 35 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........60 43 68 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............47 51 53 55  
RH..............74 61 52 47  
20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 7 NW 8 NW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2600 3200 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 NW 10 NW 10 W 9  
LVORI...........3 2 1 2  
ADI.............23 30 35 25  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
ADI.................22 DECREASING TO 9 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........50 32 18 17 21 36  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 10 10 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 20  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............54 50 47 46 44 44  
RH..............48 58 63 65 70 73  
20 FT WIND......W 7 NW 7 NW 7 W 7 W 7 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 1500 500 100 200 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 NW 9 W 8 W 8 W 9 W 9  
LVORI...........2 3 M M M M  
ADI.............22 6 M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....3 4 3 3 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT DECREASING  
TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........62 75 77 74  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 30 50 60  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 50 60  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............43 44 44 47  
RH..............76 82 86 79  
20 FT WIND......W 7G10 W 7G10 W 6G10 W 7G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 500 1100 1900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 9 W 7 W 8  
LVORI...........M M M M  
ADI.............M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...CG  
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD WEST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2108762.0/RLX  
.DELDT 04/13/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
 
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