672  
FNUS71 KRLX 291514  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOLLIVER...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
1114 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND, BOTH DURING  
THE DAYTIME AND AT NIGHT. WHILE THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHOWER  
TODAY, MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.  
 
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY COULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER 30S LATER  
THIS AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE UNDER 10  
MPH, BUT COULD OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 15 MPH.  
 
A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS COMES LATE TONIGHT, AS SOUTHERLY WINDS  
BRING MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA AT TIMES SUNDAY INTO  
MONDAY, AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THUNDERSTORMS LATE SUNDAY,  
SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE.  
 
WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER ON SUNDAY COMPARED WITH TODAY, BUT,  
WITH THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
WILL BE HIGHER.  
 
DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER TAKES HOLD FOR TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE  
BUILDS BACK IN. MORE ACTIVE WEATHER IS LIKELY TO TAKE HOLD OF THE  
REGION BY MID WEEK WITH MORE SEVERE POTENTIAL.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SPRINKLES LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................6 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................34 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 95 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........88 81 80 76 84 85 89  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............66 69 71 74 74 74 74  
RH..............48 45 42 39 37 36 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 4.1 5.3 6.5 7.0 7.5 6.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 12 13 13 13  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............34 51 62 82 95 62 58  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM, THEN CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 23 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................4 TO 7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........88 91 94 93 77 77 88 86 84 90 92 91  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 70 66 64 63 61 60 60 60 59 59 58  
RH..............37 42 50 57 62 69 70 73 72 76 76 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4  
ADI.............7 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................36 PERCENT INCREASING TO 51 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 61 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE MORNING INCREASING TO 74 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 TO 20.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 89 84 78 78 77 82 79 76 78 79 81  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............30 40 50 60 70 60 60 60 70 70 70 70  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 60 70 80 70 70 70 70 80 80 80  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............58 58 57 59 61 63 66 68 69 70 70 69  
RH..............78 78 84 84 82 77 71 66 63 62 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 14 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3  
ADI.............8 8 8 10 12 15 17 20 20 19 19 19  
 
 
FORECASTER...TRM  
REQUESTED BY...LOGAN MCGLOTHLIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2508395.0/RLX  
.DELDT 03/29/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LOGAN.MCGLOTHLIN@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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