397
FXUS61 KCLE 032343
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
743 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
HAVE ADDED SOME FOG TO THE FORECAST FOR LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING, BUT OTHERWISE THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AND
NO IMPACTFUL CHANGES WERE NEEDED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE WEEK. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN INFLUENCE OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY, RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD DRY WEATHER OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. PATCHY TO AREAS OF RADIATION FOG ARE POSSIBLE
AT INLAND LOCATIONS PRIMARILY ACROSS NE OH/NW PA DUE TO CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS, BUT AS OF NOW THE LIKELIHOOD OF
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO VISIBILITIES IS LOW.
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS A SHORTWAVE/WEAKENING UPPER LOW
LIFTS NORTH/NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE PRIMARILY IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING,
BUT IT'S STILL POSSIBLE THAT MOST LOCATIONS REMAIN DRY UNTIL AN
UPPER TROUGH AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACH FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. WILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL LATE IN THE WEEK GIVEN
MEAN FLOW PARALLEL TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND FORECAST DEW
POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S AND POSSIBLY LOWER 70S. THERE'S ALSO
SOME POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED AND PERHAPS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AT
SOME POINT LATE IN THE WEEK, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF SYNOPTIC FEATURES AND THE RESULTING THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES IS STILL LOW AT THIS POINT IN THE FORECAST CYCLE. RAIN
CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES POTENTIALLY CROSS THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH
TEMPS POSSIBLY INCREASING TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES OVER
THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S EACH DAY WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE 60S, ALTHOUGH TONIGHT WILL BE AN EXCEPTION WITH LOWS
IN THE 50S.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR PATCHY MVFR/IFR
FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT, HOWEVER, ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP
WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AND WILL DISSIPATE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.
FEW-SCT CUMULUS WITH BASES 030-050 ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH NON-VFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS, AND
OCCASIONAL STORMS, WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY, AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MARINE
WINDS BECOME VARIABLE UNDER 10KTS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS FURTHER AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES.
WAVE HEIGHTS LESS THAN A FOOT MORNINGS AND EVENINGS, BUT COULD
BE AROUND A FOOT OR SO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10KTS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WITH WAVE HEIGHTS AROUND A FOOT FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BASIN, AND LESS THAN A FOOT IN THE WESTERN BASIN.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...15
AVIATION...27
MARINE...26
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