255
FXUS61 KCLE 032324
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
724 PM EDT SAT OCT 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MAINLY SEASONABLE AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. FROST HEADLINES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY
WHICH MAY BRING A BRIEF WINDOW FOR RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT, MAINLY ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT
AND LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. BEHIND THIS FRONT, AN AREA OF
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH INTO THE REGION,
USHERING IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
TEMPERATURE TRENDS FOR FROST POTENTIAL MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
WITH HIGH PRESSURE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD, THOUGH GUIDANCE HAS
LEVELED OFF SOMEWHAT IN TERMS OF LOW TEMPERATURE MAGNITUDE
(UPPER 30S), WHICH COULD LIMIT THE OVERALL FROST THREAT.
MEANWHILE, THE FROST POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DECREASING FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS GUIDANCE IS FAVORING A
FASTER ONSET OF WARM AIR ADVECTION FROM THE WEST.
ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT MAY CROSS THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK,
THOUGH THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MAINLY DRY FRONTAL
PASSAGE WITH AMPLE MID-LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR. CLEAR TONIGHT, FEW CUMULUS FL040 SUNDAY WITH W/SW WINDS
LESS THAN 10KTS.
OUTLOOK...OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MARINE
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE INTO SUNDAY AS
NORTHEAST WINDS THIS EVENING SHIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY, AROUND 10 KNOTS. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL CROSS THE LAKE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, USHERING IN
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS, AND ANOTHER ROUND OF
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE NEEDED, MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN BASINS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON
TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD, BEFORE INCREASING OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, 15 TO 20
KNOTS.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KAHN
AVIATION...26
MARINE...KAHN
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