438
FXUS61 KCLE 080724
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
324 AM EDT WED APR 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS MIDWEEK ONWARD WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
QUIET, DRY, AND WARMER TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO PUSH
EASTWARD AND USHER IN SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW. HIGHS TODAY WILL
BE ROUGHLY 15-20 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED TO TUESDAY AS THEY TOP
OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. AS THE HIGH EXITS TO THE EAST,
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND ACCOMPANYING SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL
GLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL
INTRODUCE A COLD FRONT TO THE REGION BY THURSDAY BEFORE THE
FRONT STALLS IN THE VICINITY OF LAKE ERIE. SHOWERS WITH
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ALOFT WILL
MOVE OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR THE COLD FRONT TO
GLIDE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN PLACE ON FRIDAY WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE REMAIN
GENERALLY UNDER 0.50 INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S SATURDAY WARMING INTO THE MID 70S BY
SUNDAY. WARM BUT UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES ALOFT MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS REMAINING IN THE 70S THROUGH TUESDAY.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE ARE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
MOVING WEST TO EAST THOUGH WILL STAY SCT OR FEW. WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY LESS AROUND 5 KNOTS OUT OF THE EAST AND WILL VEER TO
BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10
KNOTS.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE IN RAIN SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY.
MARINE
WINDS ACROSS LAKE ERIE FOR TODAY WILL BE BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS OUT
OF THE SOUTHEAST RESULTING IN WAVES BEING 2 FEET OR LESS. BY
LATE THIS EVENING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES AND WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS OUT OF THE
SOUTH THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WAVES IN THE OPEN WATERS WILL
BUILD TO 3-6 FEET AND 1-3 FEET IN THE NEAR SHORE ZONES. GUIDANCE
HAS STEADILY INCREASED THE WINDS IN THE NEAR SHORE ZONES FOR
THURSDAY SO THE PROBABILITY OF NEEDING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS INCREASED AS WELL. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO
THE EAST, WINDS ACROSS THE LAKE WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THURSDAY
EVENING AND SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS LATE
THURSDAY EVENING WILL BE 10-15 KNOTS, DECREASING TO 5-10 KNOTS
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
LATE FRIDAY SHIFTING WINDS TO BE OUT OF THE NORTH AT 5-10
KNOTS. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE
EAST AS AND REMAIN LIGHT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. WINDS
SHIFT AGAIN ON SUNDAY TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND
INCREASE TO 5-15 KNOTS.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page