856  
FXUS61 KCLE 201940  
AFDCLE  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH  
340 PM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026  
   
WHAT HAS CHANGED
 
 
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  
 

 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
1) DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY  
NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
KEY MESSAGE 1...  
THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL STAY RELATIVELY STAGNANT THROUGH THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS INFLUENCE OVER THE  
REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY  
NEXT WEEK IN ADDITION TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL  
BE IN THE 60S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S EACH DAY,  
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY BEGIN TO WARM TOWARDS THE END OF THE  
WEEKEND AS THE HIGH STARTS TO SHIFT EAST. THE ONLY NOTABLE  
HAZARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE RELATED TO FROST  
POTENTIAL WITH EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING OCCURRING MOST  
NIGHTS. THAT SAID, THE BEST CHANCE OF FROST WILL BE IN LOCATIONS  
WHERE THE GROWING SEASON HAS ALREADY ENDED. WILL NEED TO KEEP  
AN EYE ON HOW TEMPERATURES TREND IN TYPICAL COLD SPOTS ACROSS  
WAYNE/ASHLAND/HOLMES COUNTIES TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY  
MORNING, BUT THERE'S POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG (WHICH MAY BE  
DENSE IN WESTERN ZONES) AND LOWER STRATUS WHICH COULD THROW A  
WRENCH IN RADIATIONAL COOLING/FROST COVERAGE IN THAT AREA.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION  
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD OUTSIDE OF PATCHY FOG TONIGHT INTO  
WEDNESDAY MORNING AT TOL/FDY. HAVE IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS IN THE  
TAF WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.  
 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5-8 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING  
BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. MAINTAINED A  
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY LAKE BREEZE OF 8-12 KNOTS AT CLE/ERI  
THROUGH THIS EVENING.  
 
OUTLOOK...OUTSIDE OF OVERNIGHT PATCHY FOG, MAINLY VFR IS EXPECTED  
THROUGH SUNDAY.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING WITH A PERIOD OF WINDS  
TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS EXPECTED ON THE LAKE TONIGHT. WAVES FROM  
ROUGHLY WILLOWICK TO CONNEAUT WILL BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET DURING  
THIS TIME AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA MAY VERY BRIEFLY BE  
MET BETWEEN ROUGHLY 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. AT THIS POINT, CONFIDENCE  
IS A BIT TOO LOW TO ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SINCE THE  
HIGHER WAVES WILL REMAIN IN THE OPEN WATERS, BUT WILL KEEP AN  
EYE ON WIND OBS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND ADJUST IF NEEDED.  
FROM THERE, WINDS WILL BE ONSHORE AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH  
THURSDAY NIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 KNOTS ONCE  
AGAIN LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE  
AND REMAIN BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OH...NONE.  
PA...NONE.  
MARINE...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...15  
AVIATION...13  
MARINE...15  
 
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