712
FXUS61 KCLE 251832
AFDCLE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
232 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND DRY WEATHER AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK WITH A
LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME ADDITIONAL PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING
ALONG THE LAKE ERIE LAKESHORE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, THOUGH NOT
EXPECTING THE FOG TO BE AS DENSE OR WIDESPREAD AS IT WAS EARLIER
THIS MORNING.
AS WE REMAIN IN THE CONTROL OF THE HIGH, EXPECT FOR TEMPERATURES TO
WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FOR HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS SETTLING IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE AN UPPER TROUGH
LIFTS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. EXPECT FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE BULK OF
THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA, MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF US-30.
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING ON
THURSDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER, BUT REMAINING DRY, BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S THURSDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VERY STUBBORN FOG IS FINALLY BURNING OFF, AND THIS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY SUNNY AND VFR
CONDITIONS. THE FOG WILL LIKELY HOLD ON THE LONGEST AT KERI. VFR
IS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
INCREASING THAT ALL TERMINALS WILL ONCE AGAIN EXPERIENCE DENSE
FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TIMING OF THE MOST
IMPACTFUL FOG COULD SHIFT FORWARD OR BACKWARD AN HOUR OR TWO,
BUT GENERALLY EXPECT THE WORST CONDITIONS IN THE 08-12Z
TIMEFRAME WHEN IFR AND LIFR WILL DOMINATE BEFORE GRADUALLY
IMPROVING THROUGH THE MORNING.
NE WINDS OF 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE TURNING
GENERALLY E TO NE AGAIN TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN CENTRAL OHIO ON
WEDNESDAY.
MARINE
QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON LAKE ERIE THROUGH THE START OF
THE WEEKEND AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS REMAIN WEAK AND A LARGE DOME
OF HIGH PRESSURE OVERALL CONTROLS THE GREAT LAKES. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NIGHT, TURNING GENERALLY N TO NE
AT 5-10 KNOTS DURING THE DAYS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. STRONGER N
TO NE WINDS OF 5-15 KNOTS ARE THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY BEFORE TURNING LIGHT AND VARIABLE FRIDAY THEN BACK TO N
TO NE SATURDAY.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...GARUCKAS
MARINE...GARUCKAS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page