121
FXUS61 KILN 061813
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
213 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND AMOUNTS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. INCREASED CLOUD COVER DURING THIS
TIME AS WELL.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SEVERAL ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
2) TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL THIS NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
OUTSIDE OF A FEW SPOTTY SPRINKLES POSSIBLE NORTH OF I-70 THIS
AFTERNOON, EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A BAND OF
RAIN SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. ALSO INCREASED QPF AND SKY
COVER AS WELL FROM THE NBM. PRECIPITATION WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD
FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT RAIN LINGERS A LITTLE
LONGER THAN THE NBM IS INDICATING ON SATURDAY, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE WAS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MAKE CHANGES DURING THAT TIME. ANOTHER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
LOOK DRY AT THIS TIME. THERE IS MORE UNCERTAINTY WITH TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER THERE ARE SOME SOLUTIONS INDICATING ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
LOWS IN A FEW SPOTS WILL DROP DOWN INTO THE 30S TONIGHT. HAVE SOME
PATCHY FROST IN A FEW TYPICALLY COLDER SPOTS EAST OF COLUMBUS,
HOWEVER SOME CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY WILL COME CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES OVER
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW NORMAL AGAIN FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE MODERATING TO COME CLOSER TO NORMAL ON
WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A MIX OF CU AND
MID CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THERE WILL
BE A DECREASE IN CLOUDS FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT BEFORE ADDITIONAL VFR
CLOUDS WORK INTO THE AREA. WHILE ISOLATED WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE, CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE ANY WIND GUSTS IN
THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY EVENING.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...08
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