075
FXUS61 KILN 061713
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
113 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH SEASONABLY
WARM TEMPERATURES RETURNING ON WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN
MAY DEVELOP ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
TODAY LOOKS TO BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK AS TEMPERATURES TREND
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS THE REST OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS TO OUR SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, ALLOWING FOR
RETURN FLOW TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW REGIME WILL USHER IN A WARMER AIR MASS ON WEDNESDAY, ALLOWING
HIGH TEMPS- TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
A WEAK COLD FRONT DOES APPEAR TO MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY, BUT NOT
EXPECTING ANY PCPN WITH THIS PASSAGE. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE
TEMPERATURES DIPPING CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES ON FRIDAY BEFORE QUICKLY
REBOUNDING AGAIN ON SATURDAY. SATURDAY IS LIKELY THE WARMEST DAY OF
THE WEEK, WITH MOST LOCATIONS REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S.
THE MAIN FEATURE TO MONITOR FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND WILL
BE THE TRACK OF TROPICAL REMNANTS FROM THE GULF. SEVERAL GLOBAL
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES DO SHOW THIS LOW TRACKING UP INTO OUR CWA, WHICH
WOULD BRING WIDESPREAD PRECIP TO OUR FA SUNDAY IF THIS TRACK REMAINS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FORECAST TRENDS BEFORE DIVING INTO THE
DETAILS.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. ONLY EXCEPTION IS
AT KLUK, WHERE VSBY REDUCTIONS DUE TO VALLEY FOG ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
TONIGHT.
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WE WILL OBSERVE A
WIND SHIFT OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME
PREVAILING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, INCREASING TO AROUND 10 KTS OR SO.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CLARK
AVIATION...CLARK
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