323
FXUS61 KILN 221800
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
100 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2025
SYNOPSIS
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE DAY ON
MONDAY. WET CONDITIONS WILL RETURN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH PART OF THE
DAY ON WEDNESDAY. COOLER AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE HOLIDAY.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED OFF AND GENERALLY EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS.
CANNOT RULE OUT A SPRINKLE AROUND CENTRAL OHIO OVERNIGHT, HOWEVER DID
NOT INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST WITH LOW PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE.
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME RIVER VALLEY FOG LATE IN THE
OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
DRY CONDITIONS ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY. SUNDAY NIGHT LOWS
WILL BE COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S. THERE WILL
BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG AND STRATUS DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY NIGHT
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION ON MONDAY. SOUTHERLY
FLOW WEST OF THE HIGH BRINGS IN WARMER AIR AND INCREASING MOISTURE
THROUGH THE DAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS. FORECAST HIGHS REACH
INTO THE 50S UNDER INCREASING CLOUDS. BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
LIFTING A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE ALSO MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED
INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH THESE TWO FEATURES OVERLAPPING INCREASED
MOISTURE.
AFTER THE INITIAL SURGE OF WIDESPREAD RAIN DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
TUESDAY, PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT LAGGING MUCH FURTHER TO THE WEST. CURRENTLY, FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS NOT FORECAST TO OCCUR UNTIL WEDNESDAY WHICH MEANS RAIN
CHANCES PERSIST AT LEAST INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
RAIN CHANCES FINALLY DECREASE BEHIND THE FRONT LATER ON WEDNESDAY
FROM WEST TO EAST.
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, DRY CONDITIONS AND BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY. THANKSGIVING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO HAVE HIGHS NEAR 40, A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS, AND A WESTERLY
BREEZE.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
THERE WILL BE SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS AROUND KCVG, KLUK, AND KILN
THROUGH A PORTION OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME, WENT WITH
VFR CONDITIONS IN THE TAFS, HOWEVER CANNOT RULE OUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MVFR OR IFR CIGS LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL PICK UP FOR
SUNDAY. WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE
POSSIBLE, BUT WITH THE ISOLATED EXPECTED NATURE THROUGH THAT TIME
DECIDED TO LEAVE OUT AT THIS TIME.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING. MVFR/IFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, WITH
MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
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