131
FXUS61 KILN 280619
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
219 AM EDT TUE JUL 28 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO MAJOR CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES END COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOLLOWS A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE DROPPING FROM THE
GREAT LAKES THRU THE OHIO VALLEY. ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT TO
SWEEP SOUTH THRU THE REGION THIS MORNING. MODERATE INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT IS SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLUSTERS OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND SMALL HAIL. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES THESE STORMS WILL BECOME
MORE ELEVATED AND THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER DECREASES.
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTHEAST THROUGH OUR LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING
AND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND LOW CLOUDS
SCATTERED OUT THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSER TO
NORMAL TODAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 80S.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL OFFER COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS THRU MOST OF THE
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT BELOW NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY AND POTENTIALLY INTO FRIDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL EARLY BUT AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES THE INSTABILITY WILL BECOME MORE ELEVATED AND THE
THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. THE BEST COVERAGE
OF STORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS KCMH AND KLCK. A PERIOD OF MVFR TO IFR
CLOUDS WILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS ALONG AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THRU
AT LEAST MID MORNING. CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE AND CLOUDS SCATTER OUT
WITH VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KTS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT 10-15 KTS
THIS MORNING WITH GUSTS OF 20-25KTS DURING THE DAY BEFORE DECREASING
EARLY THIS EVENING.
OUTLOOK...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AR
AVIATION...AR
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