367  
FXUS61 KILN 271902  
AFDILN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
302 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2021  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST.  
SHOWERS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF  
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DRY WEATHER IS  
FORECAST TO RETURN SUNDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/
 
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING FROM OHIO TO NEW ENGLAND  
TONIGHT. LOW CLOUDS THAT FORMED UNDER AN INVERSION MAY LINGER  
ACROSS EASTERN COUNTIES, WHILE WESTERN LOCATIONS MAY SEE ONLY  
CIRRUS CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO BE ABOVE NORMAL, WITH  
LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
 
 
LOW PRESSURE ADVANCING TO THE VICINITY OF WESTERN KENTUCKY WILL  
PUSH A BAND OF LIFT AND DEEP MOISTURE TO THE ILN AREA. SHOWERS  
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHWEST COUNTIES BY THURSDAY  
AFTERNOON, BEFORE SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THROUGH  
THURSDAY NIGHT. AROUND A HALF INCH OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED BY  
FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES BOOSTED BY WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE LOW MAY  
REACH THE LOW AND MID 60S IN MANY LOCATIONS, WHILE THICKENING  
CLOUDS COULD LIMIT FAR WESTERN LOCATIONS TO THE MID AND UPPER  
50S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
 
 
DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE LIFTING THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE  
LOWER OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THE FINAL REMNANTS OF  
MID LEVEL ENERGY WILL AFFECT ESPECIALLY AREAS ALONG/NORTH OF I-70  
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MOST EFFICIENT PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIFTING  
EAST OF THE AREA AFTER 18Z. THE LOW THEN WEAKENS AND MAKES A VERY  
SLOW PROGRESSION TO THE NORTHEAST, KEEPING THE AREA UNDER CLOUDY  
SKIES AND NW FLOW UNTIL THE LOW FINALLY WEAKENS AND EXISTS THE  
REGION WITH SKIES SLOWLY CLEARING AND FLOW BECOMING MORE NEUTRAL.  
 
HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SEASONABLE WITH THE LOW PASSING  
THROUGH WITH UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. BUT THEN PRETTY UNIFORMLY  
MID/UPPER 50S ON SATURDAY UNDER NW FLOW. WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS  
FRI/SAT NIGHT, OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR 50 TO THEN MID 40S FOR SATURDAY  
NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER FOR LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY  
BEFORE YET ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRINGS A MIDWEEK CHANCE FOR  
SHOWERS, AND THEN YET ANOTHER DIP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S POSSIBLE  
FOR NIGHTTIME LOWS FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST, MVFR CEILINGS THAT FORMED  
UNDER AN INVERSION WILL LIKELY PERSIST AT CMH, LCK AND ILN,  
WHILE CVG LUK AND DAY MAY REMAIN VFR AS THE CLOUD DECK IS NEARLY  
STATIONARY. FG COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES LATE TONIGHT AT LUK  
AND MVFR CEILINGS MAY FORM TONIGHT IF NOT SOONER AT DAY. FOR  
THURSDAY, MID CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE  
APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST, AND SHOWERS WITH MVFR ARE  
FORECAST TO MOVE IN AT CVG NEAR THE END OF THEIR 30 HOUR TAF.  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BECOME EAST  
AROUND 10 KNOTS ON THURSDAY.  
 
OUTLOOK...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY.  
 

 
   
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OH...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...CONIGLIO  
NEAR TERM...CONIGLIO  
SHORT TERM...CONIGLIO  
LONG TERM...JDR  
AVIATION...CONIGLIO  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OH Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab KY Page Main Text Page