044
FXUS61 KILN 251013
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
613 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED
SOMEWHAT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF THE EAST THROUGH
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. IN RETURN FLOW, TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE
SOMEWHAT WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.
A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL HELP PUSH AN ASSOCIATED
WEAK COLD FRONT INTO OUR AREA THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. AHEAD OF
THE SHORT WAVE, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OFF TO
OUR NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
MOVING INTO OUR AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT, BUT
LIKELY WEAKENING AS IT DOES. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS WE
DESTABILIZE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THE FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. DEEP LAYER SHEAR DOES BEGIN TO INCREASE A BIT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON SO SUPPOSE A FEW STRONGER STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES, SOME RIVER
VALLEY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT, MAINLY AFFECTING KLUK.
OTHERWISE, JUST EXPECT A FEW AFTERNOON VFR CU TODAY.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL
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