846  
FXUS61 KILN 222000  
AFDILN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
400 PM EDT MON JUL 22 2019  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION  
THROUGH MID WEEK.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
 
 
COLD FRONT HAS REACHED THE OHIO RIVER AND WILL CONTINUE TO DROP  
SOUTH OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY  
AROUND THE FRONT INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL  
SAG SOUTH WITH FRONT, COMING TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT.  
 
AREA OF LIGHT RAIN EXTENDING INTO WEST CENTRAL OHIO APPEARS TO  
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE H5 TROF. THIS AREA SHOULD SLOWLY  
DISSIPATE IN THE EVENING HOURS.  
 
AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN OVERNIGHT, CLOUDS WILL  
CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. DRIER DEWPOINTS WILL FILTER IN,  
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT PLAINS WILL BRING DRY  
CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY. AN H5 TROF WILL SWING ACROSS THE OHIO  
VALLEY. WITH CAA AND THE LIFT FROM UPPER TROF, SCATTERED CUMULUS  
WILL DEVELOP. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.  
 
THE CENTER OF THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE EAST  
TUESDAY NIGHT. SKIES WILL GO MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS WILL DROP INTO  
THE MID TO UPPER 50S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE LONG TERM.  
THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE  
BEGINS TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AND WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.  
 
IN GENERAL EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LONG TERM, ALTHOUGH AN  
ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT COMPLETELY. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 AND  
THEN WARM BY SUNDAY INTO THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. LOW  
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 50S WILL WARM  
INTO THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH ALL THE TAFS AS EVIDENCED BY THE  
LINE OF STRONGER SHOWERS ON RADAR. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO  
SAG SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE  
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT. DON'T EXPECT THE THUNDER TO  
AFFECT THE TAFS HOWEVER.  
 
MVFR CEILINGS ARE AFFECTING THE TAFS, BUT THERE ARE IFR CLOUDS  
BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH COULD FLOAT IN AND OUT OF THE TAFS OVER  
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS DRIER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE NORTH,  
CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY RISE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE  
EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE CLOUDS SCATTER OUT.  
 
SCATTERED CU IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND 14-15Z ON TUESDAY AS  
COOLER AIR ALOFT KICKS THE LAPSE RATES OVER.  
 
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OH...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...JGL/SITES  
NEAR TERM...SITES  
SHORT TERM...SITES  
LONG TERM...NOVAK  
AVIATION...SITES  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab OH Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab KY Page Main Text Page