213
FXUS61 KILN 050011
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
711 PM EST WED FEB 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY LATE NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING, FOLLOWED
BY A VERY COLD SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO WARM NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SNOW ON FRIDAY.
2) COLD TEMPERATURES TO START THE WEEKEND.
3) WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A CLIPPER MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY BRINGING
PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION, LIKELY IN THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW. THE
BEST CHANCES FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW EXIST ACROSS THE COLUMBUS METRO
AND NORTH OF I-70 WITH 1 OR 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE, AROUND AN
INCH OR LESS IS MORE LIKELY. THE IMPACTS FROM THE SNOW MAY BE
SOMEWHAT LIMITED AS THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING
AND SOLAR INSOLATION SHOULD AID WITH MELTING ON EXPOSED SURFACES. IF
IMPACTS DO DEVELOP, THEY WOULD LIKELY BE LIMITED TO BEFORE SUNRISE
OR AFTER SUNSET.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
AFTER THE CLIPPER MOVES THROUGH ON FRIDAY, TEMPERATURES DROP BEHIND
A COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND CHILL VALUES MAY DROP AS LOW AS
MINUS 5 FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70 LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND
CALMER ON SATURDAY NIGHT, WIND CHILLS COULD APPROACH ZERO ONCE AGAIN
ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70.
KEY MESSAGE 3)
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER THE REGION
BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A TEMPERATURES FINALLY MAKING
IT CONSISTENTLY ABOVE FREEZING.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS ALL SITES AT THE WRITING OF THIS
DISCUSSION WILL DETERIORATE AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. A MVFR DECK WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, LINGERING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AFTER SUNRISE. CIGS WILL SLOWLY RISE AND BREAK UP
THURSDAY- SOME GUIDANCE HAS US BRIEFLY SCATTERING OUT, BUT WENT MORE
PESSIMISTIC AND KEPT IT AS A VFR BKN DECK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE OVERNIGHT, BECOMING
VARIABLE OR CALM IN SPOTS. THIS WILL LIKELY PROMOTE THE FORMATION OF
SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG IN AREAS. VSBYS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY MID
MORNING. WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 KNOTS OR SO, OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST.
OUTLOOK...LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY LATE NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY ALONG
WITH MVFR CONDITIONS.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...CA
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