737  
FXUS61 KRLX 070042  
AFDRLX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
842 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
RAIN DIMINISHES THIS EVENING, WITH FOG AND LOW CLOUDS LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS SUNNY SKIES FOR MUCH OF NEXT  
WEEK, WITH GRADUAL WARMING AFTER A COOL START TO THE WEEK.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
AS OF 640 PM SATURDAY...  
 
UPDATED POPS TO REFLECT THE LATEST ON THE GRADUALLY DECAYING  
SHIELD OF DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. LINGERING  
LOWLAND PRECIP SHOULD GENERALLY BE OVER BY AROUND 8PM, BUT WE  
COULD HAVE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND  
IMMEDIATE WESTERN SLOPES A BIT LATER INTO THE NIGHT. FOG AND/OR  
LOW STRATUS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT,  
ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR WV AND VA COUNTIES, WHERE THE DRIER AIR  
WILL TAKE A LONGER TIME TO WORK IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.  
 
AS OF 1104 AM SATURDAY...  
 
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY TRACKING THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS AT THE  
TIME OF THIS WRITING, AND LINGERING PATCHY SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE  
CAN BE SEEN BEHIND THE FRONT. LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS  
EVENING, CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO BREAK FROM WEST TO EAST AS  
DRIER AIR WORKS ITS WAY IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. OVERNIGHT  
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S  
AREAWIDE.  
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY, BUT  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO  
VALLEY. EXPECT A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES  
REACHING THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S, WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY  
SEPTEMBER.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
 
 
AS OF 1104 AM SATURDAY...  
 
THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FROST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER  
ELEVATIONS OF THE WEST VIRGINIA NORTHERN MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.  
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO THE LOWER 40S ALONG THE  
RIDGETOPS WITH A FEW MOUNTAIN VALLEY LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY  
REACHING THE UPPER 30S. HOWEVER, WIND SHOULD BE JUST BREEZY  
ENOUGH TO PREVENT FROST FORMATION. THIS WILL BE CLOSELY  
MONITORED, AND FROST ADVISORIES MAY BE ISSUED AT A LATER TIME IF  
NEEDED.  
 
A DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. 500-MB  
HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, LEADING TO  
A SLOW AND GRADUAL WARM UP. TEMPERATURES WILL BE FALL-LIKE MONDAY  
WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 70S AREAWIDE. BY TUESDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL  
REACH THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
 
 
AS OF 1104 AM SATURDAY...  
 
THE STRETCH OF DRY AND COMFORTABLE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH  
SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN CONTROL OVER THE NORTHEAST.  
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THURSDAY OR  
FRIDAY, BUT A LACK OF MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP OUR AREA DRY AS IT  
CROSSES. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE 80S AHEAD OF THE  
FRONT DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK, AND BY THE END OF THE  
WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME MORE FALL-LIKE AGAIN WITH HIGHS  
BACK IN THE 70S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
 
 
AS OF 800 PM SATURDAY...  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF  
THE OHIO RIVER, AS NOTED AT PKB AND HTS, BUT FURTHER SOUTH AND  
EAST, CEILINGS ARE LARGELY MVFR, WITH SOME IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS  
NOTED ON THE HIGHER PEAKS, INCLUDING FOR BKW. VISIBILITY IS ALSO  
INTERMITTENTLY DROPPING IN AREAS OF MIST OR LINGERING DRIZZLE  
THIS EVENING.  
 
AS WE GO THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE TAF PERIOD, CONDITIONS  
MAY GRADUALLY IMPROVE AT SOME/ALL TAF SITES AS THINGS CONTINUE  
TO CLEAR BEHIND THE RECENT FRONT. HOWEVER, WITH THE CLEARING  
SKIES AND SOME LIGHTER WINDS OVERNIGHT, A FAIR AMOUNT OF VALLEY  
FOG AND/OR LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. ALL SITES  
HAVE AT LEAST A PERIOD OF IFR CONDITIONS, AND SOME SITES ARE  
LIKELY TO GET DOWN TO LIFR ON CEILINGS AND/OR VISIBILITY. THAT  
SHOULD BREAK UP BETWEEN 12Z AND 14Z ON SUNDAY, WITH LIGHT NW'LY  
BREEZES DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...  
 
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.  
 
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND LOCATION OF RESTRICTIONS  
ASSOCIATED WITH FOG AND LOW STRATUS MAY VARY THROUGH SUNDAY  
MORNING.  
 
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY  
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:  
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.  
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.  
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.  
 
DATE SUN 09/07/25  
UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11  
EDT 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07  
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M H H L L M M H H  
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H L L L L L  
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H M H M M L L L  
EKN CONSISTENCY M M H M H H M L L M M M  
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H L L L H H H  
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H M M L L L M M  
 
AFTER 00Z MONDAY...  
IFR POSSIBLE IN FOG AND STRATUS ALONG THE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY  
MORNING.  
 

 
   
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
WV...NONE.  
OH...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
VA...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SYNOPSIS...FK/JMC  
NEAR TERM...FK/JMC  
SHORT TERM...JMC  
LONG TERM...JMC  
AVIATION...FK  
 
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