086
FXUS61 KRLX 021739
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1239 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2025
SYNOPSIS
LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS MID WEEK. ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS
POSSIBLE TO END THE WEEK.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AS OF 1232 PM TUESDAY...
LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF DZ/FZDZ OR EVEN PERIODS OF
-SHSN WILL LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TONIGHT, WITH LOW
CLOUDS EXPECTED AREA WIDE. IN COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES,
ELECTED TO EXTEND THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ACROSS NORTHERN
MOUNTAIN ZONES THROUGH 03Z. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL,
BUT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
OTHERWISE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO NUDGE IN WEDNESDAY FOR A
DRY DAY, WITH CLOUDS HOPEFULLY BREAKING UP A BIT BY AFTERNOON HOURS.
STILL COOL, WITH HIGHS AROUND SEASONAL NORMS.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
AS OF 1232 PM TUESDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL
SPREAD LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS BACK INTO THE AREA, PRIMARILY ACROSS
NORTHERN ZONES. LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FOCUS ON FRIDAY SHIFTS TO A SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
GULF STATES. STILL UNCERTAINTY IN HOW FAR NORTH THE PRECIPITATION
SHIELD WILL MAKE IT, BUT STILL LOOKING LIKE AT LEAST A CHANCE,
PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THIS ALSO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE AREA, BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST
ON SATURDAY.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AS OF 1232 PM TUESDAY...
THE WEEKEND STILL LOOKS TO BE RATHER UNCERTAIN, BUT APPEARS TO BE
TRENDING DRIER. A LOW PASSING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION MAY
CREATE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA, BUT OVERALL, DRIER
CONDITIONS LOOK TO TRY TO TAKE HOLD.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
AS OF 1235 PM TUESDAY...
EXPECT WIDESPREAD MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS, ALONG WITH LOCALIZED
LIFR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN LOW CEILINGS, AND
OCCASIONAL LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
OTHERWISE, AFTER 16Z WEDNESDAY, CONDITIONS/LOW CEILINGS SHOULD
GRADUALLY START TO SCATTER OUT, WITH AREA WIDE VFR EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/AFTER THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT DURING THE PERIOD, ALTHOUGH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE TEENS TO THE 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: DURATION AND EXTENT OF RESTRICTIONS
ASSOCIATED WITH LOW CEILINGS MAY VARY FROM THE FORECAST.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04
EST 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY M H H M H H H H M H M M
EKN CONSISTENCY H H L M H M M H H H H M
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M H
AFTER 18Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR POSSIBLE, MAINLY SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT IN A WINTRY MIX.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
WVZ522>526.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...SL
NEAR TERM...SL
SHORT TERM...SL
LONG TERM...SL
AVIATION...SL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page