331  
FLUS44 KTSA 181858  
HWOTSA  
 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
1258 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2025  
 
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191900-  
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-  
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-  
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-  
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-  
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-  
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-  
1258 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2025  
 
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS  
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.  
   
DAY ONE  
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  
 
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.  
RISK...LIMITED.  
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.  
ONSET...ONGOING.  
 
DISCUSSION...  
RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS  
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL AT LEAST LOCALLY ELEVATE THE FIRE WEATHER  
DANGER FOR A TIME THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT IS STILL LOW OVERALL  
WITH GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS LIMITING SPREAD RATES,  
BUT THE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND CURED FUELS WILL ALLOW  
FOR A LIMITED THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...  
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.  
   
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.  
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.  
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.  
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.  
MONDAY...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.  
 
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE  
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AN ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY  
EVENING BEFORE INSTABILITY BEGINS TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THURSDAY AND  
THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH A HEAVY RAIN THREAT THAT MAY LEAD TO AN  
INCREASE IN FLOOD CONCERNS. THIS PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO  
BEGIN TAPERING OFF FRIDAY ONCE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER  
THE REGION AND A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND  
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  
 
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab OK Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page