270
FLUS44 KTSA 120949
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
449 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-131000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
449 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM OKEMAH TO TULSA TO VINITA.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INITIALLY. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30
MPH ARE EXPECTED. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS.
THE GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL COINCIDE WITH A DROP IN
HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN TO THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA, MAINLY ALONG AN WEST OF AN OKEMAH TO TULSA
TO VINITA LINE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR THE FASTER SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT. MOISTURE RETURN
WILL KEEP HUMIDITIES HIGHER, LIMITING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED
TO SLIDE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY SUNDAY. MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF AND LIFT WITH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BRING A
NARROW BAND OF STORMS EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. THERE IS A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MARCH QUICKLY EAST, WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT.
BEHIND THE STRONG COLD FRONT, NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RAMP
UP QUICKLY AND WILL BECOME VERY GUSTY. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT WIDESPREAD 40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION. THE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE DROPPING HUMIDITY TO
YIELD CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO FIRE SPREAD, DESPITE THE FACT THAT
COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION.
A BAND OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE FRONT MAY BRING A RAIN-
SNOW MIX TO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM.
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page