589
FLUS44 KTSA 180930
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
430 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-190930-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
430 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
DAY ONE
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS
MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA, ALTHOUGH BETTER
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON, DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS AGAIN
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO WESTERN
ARKANSAS, WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING TIED TO A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. AFTERNOON
AND EVENING STORMS WILL HAVE A LIMITED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER,
INCLUDING LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AS
WELL.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS INTO
FRIDAY, WITH POTENTIAL ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY.
AFTER A BRIEF LULL FRIDAY NIGHT, ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION. WHILE LOW CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
EXIST ON MOST DAYS, HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL
INCREASINGLY BE THE GREATER CONCERN, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT SEE
REPEATED ROUNDS OF RAINFALL.
WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
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