793  
FNUS74 KAMA 161719  
FWSAMA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAXWELL PUMPKIN FARMS - FIREWORKS 2...RANDALL COUNTY FIRE DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
1219 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON OCTOBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND OVER THE  
SITE SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST SUNDAY NIGHT. LEE  
SURFACE TROUGH TO THE WEST OF THE SITE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND  
EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL ALLOW FOR SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS  
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. CLEAR OR MAINLY CLEAR SKIES, WITH  
THE EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLY SOME FEW TO SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL  
CLOUDS,WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SITE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.  
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-14500 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE  
GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............67 61 51 48 45 42  
RH..............23 30 44 47 51 57  
20 FT WIND......SW 9 S 6 S 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 8 9 12 12  
SURFACE WIND....SW 10 S 7 S 7 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9  
SURFACE WND GST.12 9 9 10 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 8 10 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/100015 0 0 0 0 0  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-20100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42700-86000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 39 54 65 70 71  
RH..............59 62 36 23 19 17  
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 10 SW 14 SW 15 S 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 14 20 21 21  
SURFACE WIND....SW 9 SW 9 SW 11 SW 17 SW 18 S 18  
SURFACE WND GST.13 13 16 22 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.5 3.0 4.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 20 23 20  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10000 0 5 52 81 77  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-16800 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............69 65 55 53 51 49  
RH..............20 25 37 41 46 52  
20 FT WIND......S 14 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 12 SW 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 16 16 15 15 15  
SURFACE WIND....S 14 S 13 S 13 S 12 S 12 SW 12  
SURFACE WND GST.21 18 18 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 12 13 13 12  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/100017 0 0 0 0 0  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO  
4500-6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 21  
TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-40000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (80700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (160000  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (99600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 49 56 69 77 77  
RH..............59 61 52 34 27 26  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 10 SW 14 SW 16 SW 17 S 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 19 22 23 23  
SURFACE WIND....SW 12 SW 11 SW 14 SW 19 SW 20 S 20  
SURFACE WND GST.17 16 21 24 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.5 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 17 21 23  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10000 0 6 29 81 160  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHNEIDER  
REQUESTED BY...TROY DUCHENEAUX  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2119547.0/AMA  
.DELDT 10/16/21  
 
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