694
FNUS74 KAMA 211813
FWSAMA
SPOT FORECAST FOR STINKY FIRE...TIIFMAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
113 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE REMAINS VERY HIGH ACROSS THE FIRE AREA
WHICH WILL LAST THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR
AFTERNOON TO EVENING RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE EARLIEST
START TIME FOR SUCH STORMS IS 5 PM BUT THE MOST LIKELY IS 6-7PM.
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE (5%) FOR THESE STORMS TO BE SEVERE WITH
THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND HEAVY
RAINFALL. WE CANNOT RULE OUT A TORNADO WITH THE CHANCES BEING
REMOTE AT BEST, LESS THAN 2%. NOTE, HEAVY RAINFALL UPON THE FRESH
BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OR DEBRIS FLOWS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20
TEMP............67 70 71 71
RH..............68 59 55 53
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 19 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.9 5.2 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..63 74 83 77
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (66800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MC MC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0
TEMP............72 70 69 65 63 61 60 60 59 59 58 58
RH..............53 57 59 70 75 84 87 84 93 96 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 20 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE S SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 25 23 22 22 23 23 23 21 21 21 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..67 57 34 18 15 10 17 20 13 10 11 9
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
BECOMING AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (82000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30
TEMP............57 55 58 60 66 69 72 75 77 78 79 77
RH..............100 100 100 96 75 63 53 45 39 36 32 36
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW NW N N N NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 11 11 9 9 11 13 13 13 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.4 6.1 8.1 8.1 9.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W NW N N NE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 14 13 10 10 9 10 10 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 13 20 20 25 28 35 35 55 73 65 82
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD
FORECASTER...HANNAH
REQUESTED BY...STEN ST156
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614238.0/AMA
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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