994
FNUS74 KAMA 141058
FWSAMA
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAPER WINGS...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
558 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SPOT AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONDITIONS TODAY ARE WIND DRIVEN, BUT
RH VALUES WILL EASILY DROP BELOW 20% THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG,
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO START AROUND 10 AM AND LAST
THROUGH 10 PM TONIGHT. NO MAJOR WIND DIRECTION SHIFT IS EXPECTED
TODAY, (UNLESS INFLUENCED BY A THUNDERSTORM). PEAK NON-CONVECTIVE
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND MAY OCCUR BETWEEN 2-6 PM. A
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS ALSO PRESENT IN THE SPOT AREA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORM THAT FORMS WILL POSE HAZARDS
OF SPORADIC WINDS AND CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. A LOW CHANCE
(5%) FOR SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO PRESENT TODAY, AND WILL BE HIGHLY
DISRUPTIVE FOR CREWS IF ONE CAN FORM OVER THE AREA. DAMAGING WINDS
(+65 MPH) AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FOR SEVERE
STORMS, THOUGH A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ONE POSITIVE FOR THE
SEVERE STORM CASE IS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AID HIGHLY AGAINST FIRE
SPREAD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO
24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 37
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (104500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (296900
KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30
TEMP............61 64 67 75 79 82 85 87 87 87 88
RH..............65 56 50 37 31 26 21 19 18 18 18
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 10 10 15 17 20 22 22 22 23 24
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 21 23 26 32 32 32 34 35
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.6 4.8 7.3 10 12 12 12 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 18 25 29 33 36 37 36 36
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 7 11 26 105 182 297 357 389 376 317
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
34 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (213700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
(15200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO POOR (6600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............86 85 82 76 72 71 70 68 67 66 64 63
RH..............20 21 28 40 51 55 57 63 63 63 65 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..23 21 22 22 20 20 14 13 12 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.34 30 30 30 26 25 19 16 15 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.7 7.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 32 28 26 23 22 21 18 18 17 16 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..282 214 15 13 15 12 11 9 9 8 8 7
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (227200
KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............61 60 58 63 70 74 78 80 82 84 85 85
RH..............65 60 49 36 28 21 17 14 12 11 10 10
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW W W NW W W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 12 13 14 15 18 19 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.4 7.9 10 12 13 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW W W W W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 10 12 14 17 20 21 20 20 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 7 15 32 66 117 173 209 227 230 239
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECASTER...RANGEL
REQUESTED BY...SAGE SWIMMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610252.0/AMA
.DELDT 04/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page