101
FNUS74 KAMA 140034
FWSAMA
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
734 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A MEDIUM TO HIGH CONCERN THAT THE DECAYING STORMS THAT
WERE JUST SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA, COULD PRODUCE ANVIL GUSTS THAT
COULD BE IN THAT 50-70 MPH RANGE. BASICALLY, NO THUNDER AND THE
GUSTS COME DOWN AND SOMETIMES CAUSE A HEAT BURST, WHERE
TEMPERATURES JUMP. SO THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS THERE IS A RISK OF
ERRATIC HIGH WIND GUSTS, WITH POTENTIALLY NO HEADS UP.
OTHERWISE, SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT
3 TO 6 HOURS. THEREAFTER THE WINDS WILL STILL BE CLOSER TO 15 MPH
AND GUST 20 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WEBER
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........SCTTRD S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 10 10
TEMP............98 88 84 82 79
RH..............24 36 43 46 50
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 15 S 14 S 14 S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 22 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 25 S 25 S 25 SW 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..44 14 13 12 15
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 104.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (74100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (123300
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 10 20
TEMP............78 78 88 95 100 100
RH..............52 52 36 28 23 23
20 FT WIND......SW 16 SW 15 SW 14 SW 13 S 13 S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 20 18 20 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 2.5 6.2 11 11
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 17 SW 18 SW 14 S 17 S 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 15 40 74 171 177
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD EXNT EXNT
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (118800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO GOOD (59300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO FAIR (16300 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (6500
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 0 0
TEMP............99 97 88 84 81 78
RH..............24 27 38 43 47 54
20 FT WIND......S 16 S 16 S 14 S 12 S 12 S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 22 19 19 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.4 3.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 22 S 23 S 21 S 14 S 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..119 59 14 10 7 8
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...WEBER
REQUESTED BY...EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619657.0/AMA
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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